Backing Clive Cox

Published on April 27th, 2013 | by Duncan Thomson

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Two Strong Tips To Get You Out Of Trouble On Saturday

It’s been a great week’s racing at the Punchestown Festival this week, but much as I was tempted I simply couldn’t find anything that I felt was worthy of telling you about on here. The big handicaps were atrociously difficult this week and in almost all of the graded races I was quite sure that the favourites were going to take some beating, which as it turned out wasn’t too far off the mark.

Today doesn’t look like it will be much easier either to be honest. It’s little wonder that Bet365 are sponsoring the entire card at Sandown, because I could probably pick half a dozen horses in the big handicaps there and still not find the winner. If you’re tempted to play the placepot there today, or worse – the Scoop6 – then good luck to you. I think the latter looks absolutely impossible.

So, I’m going to avoid both Sandown and Punchestown today and keep my powder dry for a couple of the later races where I feel that both of my selections have a very realistic chance of winning…

Ripon 4.40pm – The Art Of Racing

I love this horse today. Let me repeat, I LOVE this horse today! He was beaten a head last time by Mayfield Girl, who won again last week in a stronger race than this, and that’s very much the best form on offer. Sure, there are some unexposed types in today’s race, but I always prefer good solid recent form over “potential” and that’s what you’re getting with The Art Of Racing. Of course, his chance in this hasn’t gone unnoticed and the early 2/1 on offer has long gone, but even at 13/8 I’d still back him.

Doncaster 7.45pm – Lucky Henry

Clive Cox has hit the ground running this season with four winners in the last few days and he’s a genius when it comes to plotting his handicappers, so I definitely think that Lucky Henry is worthy of close inspection in this race. His last run at Newbury, where he finished 7th in the Dubai Duty Free Handicap, is decent form that’s been franked over and over again, so to get Lucky Henry in here off bottom weight with 3lb less weight on his back is, well, genius. I suspect he’ll take some beating!

And that’s it for today. No 33/1 shots in impossible looking handicaps for me – I always prefer to pick and choose my battles and side with those that I think I have a realistic chance of winning, which I do today. There’s always the chance that both will under-deliver, but I’d be surprised if they did.

This is how I’ve staked them:

Ripon 4.40pm – The Art Of Racing – 3 points to win at 13/8 (BOG with Stan James, Ladbrokes)

Doncaster 7.45pm – Lucky Henry – 3 points to win at 7/2 (BOG with Stan James)

Remember, too, that you can pick up a free £10 bet with Skybet today, with no deposit required, so if you’re running low on funds by the time these races come around, just head over to Skybet and they’ll treat you to a free tenner bet to place on my selections, or on any other horse you fancy!

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About The Author

has been "working" as a professional betting exchange trader since way back in 2006 when he resigned from - in his own words - "a boring IT job" to pursue a career doing something he loved. A self-confessed "tech geek", Duncan was one of the first people in the UK to set up an independent trading team on-course to profit from the time delay in TV broadcasts, so his experience is very welcome here!


3 Responses to Two Strong Tips To Get You Out Of Trouble On Saturday

  1. Atholl Blair says:

    Brilliant mate, just what I needed. I traded myself into a £200 loss (yeah, really!) on a single race this afternoon, so it wasn’t looking good. But I snatched 7/4 on The Art Of Racing and made it back again there, plus a fair bit more. I’m pleased that you were so selective today, because I certainly wasn’t on form this afternoon! :-)

    • Duncan says:

      It was Mike who put me onto it Atholl. It’s in his stats section today. He said “Ripon 4.40pm – The Art Of Racing (great name!) – The form of his last run looks hot and this race doesn’t. A repeat would suffice.” so I checked out the form and he was bang on!

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