Published on April 18th, 2013 | by Mike Bell15
One Trainer Stat You Can’t Afford To Miss At Newmarket
Yesterday’s Cheltenham Tip to back the two runners in the field who were weighted to reverse the placings with their superior rivals paid dividends with Champion Court getting back up to beat Menorah on the line. It was a race of changing fortunes and a nightmare for in-running punters who had backed Menorah into 1.03 on Betfair and lost, but good news for those of us who backed Champion Court!
I’m going to get involved at Cheltenham today too. Mainly in the 3.45pm race where I have a feeling that David Pipe’s Ashkazar has probably been layed out to win this for the second year in a row. He’s got a decent record at Cheltenham, and on undulating tracks generally, and he won this race last year off a 1lb lower mark than today’s. You have to place some faith in him after a couple of poor runs, but the same was the case going into the race last year when he looked out of form and then he went and won quite cosily, so he’s worth a small bet with BetVictor generously offering 10/1 this morning.
The bulk of my betting action is going to be at Newmarket today though and here’s why:
These are the stats for Godolphin trainer Mahmood Al Zarooni when he’s run unraced two year olds in Maiden Fillies Stakes at Newmarket since he started training (under his own name at least) in 2010.
16 runners, 8 winners, a 50% strike-rate, 63 points profit at SP and a ROI of 394%.
Not bad, huh? His record in these types of races is as good as I’ve ever seen, so I didn’t need to think twice about where to place my money in this race. Win or lose, those numbers simply can’t be ignored and an outright win bet is the call, because they have tended to either win or finish unplaced.
And that’s all for today folks. Here is how I’ve staked them:
We’ve got our Scottish Grand National preview just about finished this morning too, so I expect that will be online either later today or tomorrow morning. That’s been an interesting race to get stuck into too this week and I’ve got a couple of decent priced selections who I think should run well…