Backing Nicky Richards

Published on January 4th, 2013 | by Duncan Thomson

A Horse To Follow? Why Today Could Be The Day!

Mmm, back to work with a bang this week. Isn’t the first week of January just the worst week of the year? I actually started yesterday – not real work, just trading on Betfair – and to add to my two week long hangover, my horrid fear of having to do anything bar eat, drink and sleep again, and the fact that I detest January, I managed to lose £280 too. Nothing went right all day long. Absolutely nothing.

Hey ho, today is another day, as they say!

Some of you might remember my horses to follow article from December 17th (well, if the blur of the last two weeks hasn’t dented your memory too much!) and there’s one of those horses running today at Musselburgh, again, who I think must have an excellent chance of success.

To remind you, here is what I said about it previously…

Brijomi Queen (10th Dec at Musselburgh)

Brijomi Queen first went into my notebook way back in February when she trounced the field by 4 1/2 lengths in a decent looking National Hunt flat race at Kelso. The 2nd, 3rd and 8th placed horses have since won five races between them, some very easily, so the form has been well and truly franked. She made her reappearance at Musselburgh last Monday, but was caught on the wide outside and couldn’t get competitive. I’m sure she’s a lot better than that and I’ll be keen to see where she goes next.

Like I said there, the last time she ran at Musselburgh she was caught on the wide outside and that isn’t the best place to be at Musselburgh. Ideally you want to be placed on the inside in a prominent position, because when they hit the final bend the leaders on the inside can often take lengths out of the field and then everything else is playing catch up, so the race didn’t work out well last time.

Today’s race is a step up in grade, but Brian Harding replaces the 10lb claimer from last time and he’s got plenty of experience at Musselburgh, so he knows his way around okay. Remember what I said about the form of her race in February too – that race couldn’t have worked out any better and Brijomi Queen hacked up by 4 1/2 lengths, so I’m quite sure that she’s the one they all have to beat today!

This is how I’ve staked it…

Musselburgh 3.40pm – Brijomi Queen – 3 points to win at 10/3 (BOG with Paddy Power)

The Racing Post forecast for this race had Brijomi Queen listed at 11/2 and I was thinking that we might see a bit of 9/2 or 5/1 this morning, but that obviously isn’t the case now so I’ve toned the stake down accordingly. She probably deserves to be 3/1 to be honest, but they aren’t giving much away!

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About the Author

has been "working" as a professional betting exchange trader since way back in 2006 when he resigned from - in his own words - "a boring IT job" to pursue a career doing something he loved. A self-confessed "tech geek", Duncan was one of the first people in the UK to set up an independent trading team on-course to profit from the time delay in TV broadcasts, so his experience is very welcome here!

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